Gai's Tip Sheet
WEDNESDAY 6th MAY - WARWICK FARMRail Position: +5m 1000m-WPost, +3m RemainderCONDONE, Race 1, 1300m, 12.45pm, A Hyeronimus, 58kg Condone is delighting us ahead of his first-up run. He’s had three trials so he’s as fit as we can get him, and he responded extremely positively to the blinkers in his latest one. He therefore retains them for race day, and they will give him the confidence he needs to roll forward from barrier 6 and settle comfortably in the middle stages of the race. He went close to winning on debut in town last preparation before having excuses second-up, so we know he’s up to this grade and this is a lovely opportunity for him to get his preparation off to a winning start for excellent prizemoney.CELTIC SPY, Race 2, 1000m, 1.20pm, R Bayliss, 56kg Celtic Spy is in brilliant shape ahead of his return. His two trials have been extremely encouraging, and he’s continued to improve since his most recent one at Canterbury last month. That morning away really switched him on, and his subsequent work has been excellent so we couldn’t be happier with how he’s training ahead of this run. He did a brilliant job to get to the races before Christmas, and whilst he wasn’t ready to go on with the job at that stage the experience helped him to mature hugely. He’ll have a much better idea of his job here, and whilst he’ll appreciate getting over further in time this is a lovely starting point for him against his own age and sex. He’s drawn to do no work from barrier 1, so Regan will be positive from there to try and make the most of it and secure the rail which is a big asset in these races. We’ve put the blinkers on to ensure he’s as sharp and focused as possible, and with even luck in running we see no reason why he won’t be fighting out the finish.SINGLE LADIES, Race 3, 1000m, 1.55pm, Z Wadick (2kg), 56kg Single Ladies is doing everything right ahead of her first career start. She’s had two trials away from home which have given her a solid educational grounding, and she’s continued to improve very nicely since her most recent one at Warwick Farm. This is a lovely starting point for her against her own age and sex, and she’s got the gate speed to roll forward from barrier 9 and settle on or close to the pace. She handled sting out of the ground in her trials so if the forecast rain materialises we think she’ll cope with it, and we expect her to give this a good shake to get her career off to an exciting start.PALMANOVA, Race 3, 1000m, 1.55pm, T Clark, 56kg Palmanova is delighting us ahead of her first-up run. Her two trials have been extremely encouraging, and she’s continued to improve since her most recent one at Canterbury last month. That morning away really switched her on, and her subsequent work has been excellent so we couldn’t be happier with how she’s training ahead of this run. She did a brilliant job to get to the races before Christmas, and whilst she wasn’t ready to go on with the job at that stage the experience helped her to mature hugely. She’ll have a much better idea of her job here, and whilst she’ll appreciate getting over further in time this is a lovely starting point for her against her own age and sex. She’s drawn to do no work from barrier 1, so Tim will be positive from there to try and make the most of it and secure the rail which is a big asset in these races. She’s got a brilliant attitude and she’s got plenty going for her as one of the few horses with previous experience under her belt, so with even luck in running we see no reason why she won’t be fighting out the finish.SUPERFABULISTIC, Race 5, 1600m, 3.10pm, R King, 54.5kg Superfabulistic continues to thrive as she gets deeper into her preparation. She ran an almighty race to finish second at Canterbury last time considering how much ground she covered in the run, and she’s done everything right since then. She’s up in grade and down in the weights again here, so Rachel is back aboard and she got a terrific tune out of her at Hawkesbury two back which adds confidence. She’s drawn a lovely barrier in 4 so she should be able to race on or close to the speed and conserve energy in the run, and she certainly won’t mind the step up to the mile. She’s a consistent mare who thoroughly deserves to win a city-grade race, and we think it’ll take a progressive horse to deny her here.ZOUFIELD, Race 5, 1600m, 3.10pm, T Clark, 56.5kg Zoufield is pleasing us ahead of this run. He enjoyed a short freshen up after finishing down the field at this track in March, and his recent trial served its purpose of giving him a solid hit out to blow the cobwebs away. Tim remarked that he was vulnerable over 1400 metres in this grade last time, so we’re wasting no time by kicking him off over the mile. He’s drawn to do no work in barrier 3, so Tim should be able to flow forward from there to race on or close to the speed and he’s got a much better chance of travelling more comfortably in the run over this slightly longer distance. He might just need this run to get his fitness levels back up to where we need them to be but it leads him into a lovely program against his own age group. He’s taking on older horses once again today which isn’t easy to do, but he’ll be more effective over this trip and we expect him to run a big race.SUPERMASSIVE, Race 6, 1300m, 3.50pm, T Clark, 59.5kg Supermassive gave us such a thrill when winning so determinedly first-up at Canterbury. He’s come through the run in brilliant order and he’s had a real spring in his step ever since, so he’s certainly full of confidence. It was a small field at Canterbury and he enjoyed a soft lead, so this race definitely has more depth to it and he probably won’t be able to dictate quite so easily. However, Tim knows him well and he’ll be positive from barrier 8 to try and roll forward and land in a prominent position where he can enjoy an even run in transit. He will relish the step up to 1300 metres and Warwick Farm’s a track that will suit him hugely, so whilst he needs to take a step forward he’s entitled to with just four career starts under his belt and we think he will take plenty of catching once again.LOERA, Race 7, 1300m, 4.25pm, T Clark, 57.5kg Loera gave us such a thrill when breaking her maiden at Canterbury a fortnight ago. She’s done really well since that run and she’s firing on all cylinders ahead of this outing, so we couldn’t be happier with her. The first run outside of maiden grade is notoriously tricky, and taking on older mares as she is here is no exception. However, she’s still extremely unexposed so she has any amount of upside, and we’re confident that the step up to 1300 metres on this expansive track will suit her enormously and bring about further improvement. Tim will let her roll forward from barrier 7 to race on or close to the speed, and if she can enjoy an even run in transit in the middle stages before giving a strong kick on straightening it’ll take a good one to run her down.OUTTA LINE, Race 7, 1300m, 4.25pm, R Bayliss, 58kg Outta Line is pleasing us ahead of her first-up run. She’s had three trials so she’s as fit as we can get her, and she responded extremely positively to the blinkers in her latest one. We’ve left them off for race day but Regan will be positive from barrier 12 to try and work forward into a more favourable inside position, but we’re mindful that 1300 metres is well short of her optimum distance so there’s likely to be one or two that are a bit too speedy for her early on. However, he’ll settle her where she’s comfortable and hopefully she can get into an even rhythm in the middle stages of the contest. This is very much a starting point for her but she was progressive last preparation and she won well when resuming, so we know she can go well fresh and we hope to see her hitting the line strongly to get her campaign off to an exciting start.THURSDAY 7th MAY - WYONGRail Position: TrueNICOLOSI, Race 2, 1100m, 1.20pm, T Clark, 57kg Nicolosi is thriving ahead of her first start. Her two recent trials have been extremely encouraging, and she’s continued to improve since winning her latest one at Randwick last month. Her subsequent work has been excellent and she seems to be full of confidence, so we couldn’t be happier with how she’s training ahead of this run. 1100 metres around this tight turning track promises to be ideal for her at this stage, and she’s drawn well in barrier 4 so Tim will be positive from there to try and roll forward to race on or close to the speed. She’s got a brilliant attitude and she’s certainly bred in the purple, so with even luck in running we see no reason why she won’t take plenty of catching in her bid to get her career off to a winning start.FARSET, Race 3, 1350m, 2.00pm, R Bayliss, 60.5kg Farset ran a brilliant race to finish second when resuming at Newcastle. He had to cart the rest of the field up to the tearaway leader and he was unlucky to then have one too strong for him in the run to the line, but it confirmed he’s returned better than ever. He’s taken plenty of natural improvement from the outing so he strips fitter here, and the slight step up in trip to 1350 metres doesn’t hold any concerns. Regan knows him very well from his trials, so he’ll be positive from his lovely barrier in 2 to try and control the race to suit himself. This contest is the perfect steppingstone for him and he’s got plenty of upside second-up with race fitness on his side, so we hope he can rise to the challenge and prove hard to beat.THURSDAY 7th MAY - GOULBURNRail Position: +5m EntireMISS FARNAN, Race 2, 1100m, 12.55pm, L Beuzelin, 59kg Miss Farnan is delighting us ahead of her return. Her first trial was brilliant and whilst she finished sixth in her latest one, it was a competitive heat and she wasn’t beaten far at all by some highly rated horses so it was a better performance than it appears on face value. She’s continued to improve since then, and she’s ready and raring to go here. She was brilliant when winning on debut at Canberra in December, and we took the decision to tip her out so that she could mature and strengthen up further which she’s certainly done. It might’ve only been a country-grade race but the first two drew well clear of the rest of the field which is generally a positive sign of above-average form, so we’re confident she’s got plenty of upside. She’s a speedy filly so 1100 metres is a suitable starting point for her, and Louis knows her inside out so he’ll let her use her speed to roll forward from barrier 7 and make her luck on the speed. Goulburn’s an expansive track and she showed on debut that when the chips are down she’s in for the fight, so whilst the first run outside of maiden grade is never easy we expect her to give a good kick and take plenty of running down.
