Gai's Tip Sheet
SATURDAY 7th FEBRUARY - RANDWICKRail Position: TrueAGRARIAN GIRL, Race 3, 1000m, 1.40pm, W Costin, 54kgAgrarian Girl is delighting us ahead of her first career start. Her two winning trials have been faultless, and there’s so much to like about how she goes about her job so we’re incredibly excited to see her at the races. 1000 metres is a lovely starting point for her as she’s got plenty of speed, and Winona will be positive from barrier 4 to try and put herself on or close to the pace and make her own luck from there. She’s debuting in a tough race, so we’re under no illusions as to the task she faces. However, she’s fast and she has a terrific attitude which will take her a long way and this is a brilliant opportunity to try and snag some valuable Black type on debut so fingers crossed she runs a big race for everybody involved.LADY MOSCATO, Race 3, 1000m, 1.40pm, T Clark, 54kgLady Moscato ran an almighty race to finish second on debut at Gold Coast last month. She wasn’t dealt an easy deck with the wide barrier, but it didn’t faze her and to find only one horse too good was most creditable. She’s come through the run in wonderful order, and the trip away from home does these youngsters the world of good so she’s returned to Randwick even maturer than she was before. The fifth placed horse from that race has gone on to win since, and whilst it wasn’t the strongest race it’s always nice to see. She now finds herself in a slightly tougher race against horses with some good form to their names, so it won’t be easy. However, she’s open to a tremendous amount of improvement second-up and this is a lovely race for her on her home track. She’s drawn an outside barrier again but Tim will be positive from there to try and put her previous experience to good use and get across into a better position. From there, she should be able to travel comfortably in the run and Randwick’s a more expansive track with a longer home straight than Gold Coast so it’ll give her every opportunity to balance up and hit top stride in the straight. She’s a filly with plenty of ability and if she gets a bit of luck in running we think she’ll be right there at the finish once again. PLAGIARISM, Race 7, 1100m, 4.00pm, T Clark, 56.5kgPlagiarism is thriving ahead of his return. His two trials this time in have been excellent, and they’ve given him the right fitness base to have him spot on for this first-up effort. He made a fantastic start to his career when finishing third in the $1mil. Golden Gift in November, so we tipped him out right away with a view to getting him to this race. This break gave him time to consolidate all he’d learned thus far whilst also enabling him to continue maturing, and he’s certainly returned a more robust individual. He’s always had a fantastic attitude, and we expect him to utilise his early speed to roll forward from barrier 10 and get into a prominent position on or close to the speed. There’s a lot of money on offer and it’s a big field, so it’s not going to be easy and it could be a bit of a cavalry charge to the first turn. However, he’s got the right disposition to handle a big occasion like this and we see no reason why he won’t be fighting out the finish for you.BEAR ON THE LOOSE, Race 9, 1600m, 5.15pm, R Bayliss, 54kgBear On The Loose is delighting us ahead of his first-up run. He’s had three trials so he’s as fit as he can be, and this has enabled us to kick him off over the mile as he’d be vulnerable to speedier types over anything shorter. He was a model of consistency last preparation, placing second in four of his five starts and he really took his form to a new level to finish second in two Listed races which was brilliant to see. He’s had a good break since then so he’s had time to continue acclimatising to life in Australia, which as strange as it may seem given he’s been here for a couple of years is not unusual for these imports so we do think he’s got more improvement to come. He’s drawn to do no work in barrier 2 so Regan will be able to roll forward from there to have him travelling on or close to the speed as he likes to do, and whilst a lot of his best form is on softer tracks he can act on dry surfaces. This is very much a starting point so we don’t expect him to be peaking until he’s over further as he gets deeper into his preparation, but we still expect him to run a competitive race to get his preparation off to an encouraging start. SATURDAY 7th FEBRUARY - KEMBLARail Position: TrueEXCEED PERFECTION, Race 8, 1400m, 5.40pm, L Beuzelin, 56.5kgExceed Perfection put in disappointing performance when second-up at Newcastle last time. Prior to that he was okay when resuming at Gosford, so we’re hopeful that it was just an off day for him and that he can put it behind him here. He’s stretching out to 1400 metres which will suit him now that he’s getting deeper into his campaign, and he’s drawn well in barrier 2 so Louis will be positive from there to try and get him rolling along in front and hopefully enjoying himself in the run. He went close to winning over course and distance in August so we know he’s capable on his day, and whilst this is quite a deep Class 1 his best would put him in the finish so we hope to see him bounce back for you and do just that. SAVVY SPY, Race 8, 1400m, 5.40pm, Z Wadick (1.5kg), 58.5kgSavvy Spy is in brilliant order ahead of his first-up run. His two trials have given him a good fitness base with which to resume, and he wasn’t beaten far in his latest one where he was just outsprinted in the final 100 metres. He won on debut over 1500 metres at this track, so know he goes well here which adds confidence and he won’t have any trouble with 1400 metres first-up. Zac will be positive from barrier 16 to try and get across into a prominent inside position, and from there he should be able to travel comfortably in the run and enjoy a nice tow into the race. Whilst this is a provincial Class 1 race there is quite a lot of depth to it with plenty of unexposed types meeting, so it’s a competitive enough starting point for him over a distance far short of his best. However, he’s a lovely gelding with plenty of upside so we expect him to run a big race to get his preparation off to an exciting start en route to bigger and better things down the line. SUNDAY 8th FEBRUARY - NOWRARail Position: +2m 1200m-400mBELLARATA, Race 1, 1400m, 1.10pm, Z Wadick, 57kgBellarata took a big step forward from her debut effort when finishing a good third over 1200 metres at Goulburn last week. She’s come through that run in great shape, and this step up to 1400 metres third-up promises to suit. Zac knows her inside out after two rides on her, so he’ll again be positive from barrier 3 to try and land in a forward position where she can get into a comfortable rhythm. This is a winnable race for her, so we expect her to be right there at the finish.NO VERDICT, Race 7, 1200m, 5.10pm, Z Wadick, 59kgNo Verdict is pleasing us ahead of his first-up run. Things didn’t go to plan on debut at Pakenham last year, but we’ve given him plenty of time since then and he’s now had the ultimate gear change and returns two stone lighter which can bring about significant improvement. We’re kicking him off at a realistic level to try and give him a confidence boost, and Zac will be positive from barrier 13 to try and work forward to get across into a more favourable inside position. He will probably appreciate getting over slightly further in time, but 1200 metres is a lovely starting point for him and we expect him to run a competitive race.
