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Gai's Tip Sheet
WEDNESDAY 1st JULY - KENSINGTON
Rail Position: +4M Entire
CONCHIERO, Race 5, 1400m, 3.10pm, Z Wadick (2kg), 62kg
Conchiero resumed with an incredibly promising performance at Canterbury a fortnight ago. We thought the 1200 metres would be on the sharp side for him but he didn’t have any trouble with it, and he excelled himself to finish such a close third. He’s come through the run in brilliant order and hasn’t missed a beat since, so he comes into this fitter and ready to atone for that narrow defeat. He’s going to relish stretching out to 1400 metres on this more expansive track, and Zac will once again roll forward from barrier 11 to try and land on or close to the speed where he can make his own luck accordingly. Interestingly, he has never encountered a Heavy track on raceday or at the trials, but our data shows that when he has galloped on it, his stride improved and his recoveries remained good. Raceday conditions are a different setup, but the signs look positive. He rates better in today's race than Saturday's and is thoroughly deserving of a win, so we have chosen the easier path before stepping him up to Saturday grade from here. He’s creeping up in the weights but Zac again takes a valuable 2kg off his back, and we expect him to be right there at the finish.
THURSDAY 2nd JULY - HAWKESBURY
Rail Position: +4m 1100m - 450m, True remainder
RUSKANA, Race 3, 1600m, 1.25pm, A Hyeronimus, 59kg
Ruskana wasn’t beaten far when third at Gosford last time, but it was a weak race so we were still a bit disappointed as we thought he could win. Rachel commented that he was one paced under pressure, so whilst he sticks to 1600 metres for now this more expansive track places more of an emphasis on stamina and he’s bred to stay on his dam’s side as she won over 2000-2100 metres, so let’s hope it does the trick. Adam will be positive from barrier 4 to try and establish himself in a favourable position, and we’d love to see him run a competitive race to warrant us persevering with him.