Gai Waterhouse | Gai Waterhouse Gais Tip Sheet

SATURDAY 20th JUNE - RANDWICK

Rail Position: +6m 1000m-W/Post, +5m Remainder

FRONT RANK, Race 4, 1300m, 12.45pm, T Clark, 56.5kg 
Front Rank got his career off to a fantastic start when blitzing his rivals at Canterbury. The second and third placed horses were beaten again at Kensington last week and the fourth placed horse has since won at Muswellbrook, so the form hasn’t exactly stacked up yet but the authority of his victory suggests he’s capable of holding his own on this step up in grade. He has taken plenty of improvement from that outing so he strips fitter here, and he’s going to be well suited by the slight step up to 1300 metres. Barrier 11 means Tim is going to have to make an early decision to either press on and cross the field or slot in and get some cover, so he’ll assess how he lands in the run and act accordingly. He’s lacking the race experience of his rivals but he’s a talented gelding with plenty of upside, and we hope to see him saluting the judge once more.

COLLECT YOUR CASH, Race 6, 1800m, 1.55pm, A Hyeronimus, 60kg 
Collect Your Cash was very disappointing first-up at this track a fortnight ago. Nothing came to light post-race to explain his effort, so we’re hoping it was just a case of being too bad to be true and that he needed the outing more than we anticipated. He’s taken natural improvement from the run, and this step up to 1800 metres, which he’s won over previously in midweek city-grade, should hopefully help him as he’s relatively one paced. This is a slight drop in grade so he’s up in the weights as a result and reunited with Adam who’s a natural heavyweight rider, and he’ll try to roll forward from barrier 9 to get him interested from the outset and hopefully travelling with some enthusiasm. He’s won in this grade previously, albeit with 2kg fewer on his back, so we know he’s up to this level and we hope to see him bounce back to his best here.

SUPERMASSIVE, Race 10, 1400m, 4.25pm, T Clark, 58kg 
Supermassive gave us enormous satisfaction when finding his way back into the Winner’s Circle at Kensington last week. He’s developing a very consistent and likeable profile, and once again he’s been absolutely full of himself since that win so he’s full of confidence and we couldn’t be happier with him. He’s stepping up in grade from the midweeks so it’s going to be tougher, and he needs to keep improving to be winning. However, we think he’s doing just that and the data we have suggests 1400 metres is his pet distance so he sticks to this for now. He’s drawn a slightly sticky gate in 20 but he’ll come in somewhat after scratchings, and Adrian and I have never run scared of barriers. He’s got the early speed to roll forward from there and establish himself in a forward position, and he’s settled just off the speed in his last few starts so we imagine Tim will do something similar here. The blinkers suit him so they stay on and whilst the track might be a bit chopped up come race ten he should get through it, and we expect him to be right there at the finish once more.

SATURDAY 20th JUNE - KEMBLA

Rail Position: +4m 1600m-400m cutaway applies, True Remainder

KILLA, Race 1, 1000m, 11.50am, A McLucas, 57kg 
Killa is delighting Adrian and myself ahead of his first start. He has had two trials this time in to prepare him for this race, and his latest trip away to Newcastle did him the world of good and has switched him on nicely. These two hit outs have given him a very good educational grounding and our heart rate data shows he's fit and ready for a high-pressure 1000 metre race first-up, so we are excited to see him debut. He’s drawn well in barrier 5 so Amy will try and settle him in a handy position, but he may find a few of them a bit speedier than him over this short trip so she’ll ultimately let him travel where he’s comfortable. Kembla is an expansive track so whilst it’s a big field, he should have every opportunity to balance up and go through his gears in the home straight. He’s been a straightforward and professional colt thus far, so whilst he's not set the world alight in his trials he’s entitled to keep improving and his temperament will take him a long way. We think he'll improve with distance, time and experience, but hopefully he can hold his own here and get his career off to an encouraging start.

AUDACIOUSLY FRANK, Race 3, 1600m, 1.05pm, Z Wadick, 59kg 
Audaciously Frank was disappointing on debut at Newcastle. He’s come through the run in good order though, and you can’t give up on these staying types too soon as they can improve immeasurably once they get over ground. As such, we’re pinning our hopes on the step up to the mile bringing about significant improvement, and Zac will try to get him into the race from barrier 6 and have him travelling with some enthusiasm in the run. He needs to take a big step forward here but this isn’t a strong race so we’re hopeful he can do just that, and fingers crossed he can show us something to warrant persevering.

MONDAY 22nd JUNE - GOULBURN

Rail Position: +7M Entire

CARIBBEAN THUNDER, Race 1, 1500m, 12.40pm, L Beuzelin, 59kg
Caribbean Thunder is pleasing us ahead of his first start. He hasn’t set the world alight in his two trials this time in, however he was sticking on nicely enough through the line at Newcastle last time and that trip away from home has done him the world of good. 1500 metres is a lovely starting point for him as he’d be vulnerable to speedier types over anything shorter, and Louis will endeavour to roll forward from barrier 9 to try and put him in the race and make his own luck accordingly. Goulburn’s a fair and expansive track so it’s a lovely place for him to debut at, and he’ll appreciate the long home straight as it’ll give him every opportunity to go through his gears and reach topflight. He’s got blinkers on, he’s starting off at a realistic level and horses can improve a lot under race day conditions, especially these staying types who need to get over a bit of ground to be effective. We will have a much clearer line on him after this outing, and we hope to see him run a big race to get his career off to an encouraging start.