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Gai Waterhouse | Gai Waterhouse Gais Tip Sheet

GAI’S TIP SHEET

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Gai's Tip Sheet

SATURDAY 15th NOVEMBER - NEWCASTLE

Rail Position: True

ELIO (Race 1, 12:35pm, 900m, R King, 56kg)
Elio is delighting us ahead of his first career start. He was brilliant when finishing a close second in his only trial at Warwick Farm, and whilst the winner of that heat was comfortably beaten in the Golden Gift last weekend that was a strong $1mil. race, and he’s debuting at a much more winnable level here. He’s drawn down the middle in barrier 6, so Rachel will utilise his good gate speed to roll forward from there and try and secure a prominent position towards the head of the field. Newcastle’s a big, expansive track which can be quite daunting for horses on debut, but he was very professional in his trial so we expect him to cope with it and we see no reason why he won’t be fighting out the finish.

FEAR NO EVIL (Race 5, 2:55pm, 1600m, A Hyeronimus, 58.5kg)
Fear No Evil resumed with a real bang when eviscerating his rivals at Bendigo. He went straight to the front and didn’t see another rival, so it was an extremely encouraging return and he’s building a fantastic record with four wins from seven starts. We’ve brought him back to Sydney for this outing and he’s a very cool customer who’s taken the journey in his stride, and his fantastic temperament is going to take him a long way. He won at Warwick Farm last preparation so we know he’s effective racing in this direction too, and the step up to the mile second-up should suit him. He’s up in grade again so we’re under no illusions as to the task he faces, and it’s a competitive contest so he needs to keep improving if he’s to win again. Adam will be positive from barrier 10 to try and control the race from the front and repeat the front running tactics that were so successful last time, so with even luck in running we think it will take a good horse to run him down.

ROSA INCANTA (Race 7, 4:05pm, 1600m, T Clark, 54.5kg)
Rosa Incanta pulled away for an impressive winner over 1300 metres at this track earlier this month. We knew she’d relish the longer trip and so it proved, so it was very satisfying to see her get her head in front. She’s come through the run in terrific order and has taken another step forward in her subsequent gallops at home which is encouraging to see. This is a big step up in grade, so we’re under no illusions as to the task she faces. However, she’s bred to relish this step up to the mile and we’re confident it will bring about the improvement needed to make her presence felt in a race of this level. Tim will be positive from barrier 5 to try and get her rolling along in front where he can control things to suit himself, and if she gives a good kick on straightening up she’ll take plenty of catching in the run to the line.

SATURDAY 15th NOVEMBER - CAULFIELD

Rail Position: +3M Entire 

IKASARA (Race 1, 12:20pm, 1100m, B Melham, 60kg)
Ikasara is delighting us ahead of his first-up run. His two jumpouts have given him the right fitness foundation, and he’s continued to please us in his gallops since his most recent one. Caulfield can be a tricky track, but he’s adapted well to the Melbourne way of going since heading to our Flemington stable and we think he’s seasoned enough to handle it. He’s resuming in a tough enough grade, but he’s Stakes placed so he’s no slouch and he isn’t out of place in this lineup. He’s also been gelded since he last raced which many view as the ‘ultimate gear change’, and this combined with his throat surgery has the potential to bring about significant improvement. Ben will try to be positive from barrier 10 but if there’s a lot of speed to his inside he may have to take a sit and ride for luck, so hopefully he gets a bit of luck in running and can get his preparation off to an exciting start.

TOMATO TOASTIE (Race 9, 5:05pm, 1200m, J Stanley, 56kg)
Tomato Toastie is delighting us ahead of her first-up run. She went from strength to strength in the winter, taking out her maiden impressively before following that up with a determined win in a Saturday grade handicap. She’s had a good break since then to help her grow and mature, and whilst she’s still not the biggest there’s certainly no faulting her ability or attitude as her two trials this time in have been excellent and she has a real will to win which will take her a long way. She’s drawn a tricky barrier in 15, but she’s a natural speed filly so we’re hopeful Jett will be able to roll forward from there and get across into a more favourable inside position. Caulfield can be a tricky track but she’s a professional filly who’s had no trouble adapting to the Melbourne way of working at home, so hopefully she can take this to race day. She’s resuming in a very tough race as you’d expect for the money on offer, and there will be improvement to come with the benefit of a run under her belt but she’s ready to do herself justice and we hope to see her run competitively to get her preparation off to an encouraging start.