Gai Waterhouse | Gai Waterhouse Gais Tip Sheet

WEDNESDAY 20th MAY - WARWICK FARM

Rail Position: True

CELTIC SPY, Race 2, 1100m, 1.25pm, R Bayliss, 57.5kg 
Celtic Spy got his preparation off to a fantastic start when finishing a brave third at this track a fortnight ago. He absorbed plenty of pressure on that occasion and still fought on very bravely, only giving way in the run to the line. He has taken plenty of improvement from that outing so he strips fitter here, and we’re confident there’s plenty of improvement to come as a result. He’s going to be well suited by the step up to 1100 metres, and the slightly steadier tempo of this longer race should enable him to travel more comfortably in the run. Regan knows him well and he ticks plenty of boxes, so we expect him to be hard to beat.

OUR EMPEROR, Race 2, 1100m, 1.25pm, T Clark, 57kg 
Our Emperor is thriving ahead of his first career start. His two trials this time in have been excellent, and he took good improvement from his first to win his most recent one in wonderful style. He’s continued to do everything right since then, and he’s an extremely professional colt with a very willing attitude which is going to take him a long way. He’s drawn to do no work in barrier 1, so Tim will be positive from there to ensure he settles on or close to the speed and doesn’t get crowded against the rail by horses coming over from his outside. From there, he should be able to travel comfortably in the run and 1100 metres on an expansive and inviting track like Warwick Farm is the ideal setup for him on debut. He’s a lovely colt with plenty of ability, so whilst he’s conceding race experience to a few key rivals we think he’s capable of overcoming it to run a very competitive race. 

SUPERFABULISTIC, Race 4, 1600m, 2.35pm, R King, 57kg 
Superfabulistic gave us such a thrill when gaining a well-deserved win at this track a fortnight ago. She’s bounced through that run in terrific shape and we can’t fault her at home, so she’s firing on all cylinders in her quest to notch another win here. She’s gone up in the weights so this is going to require more from her, however we think there’s still plenty of improvement to come so we’re confident she can defy this rise. Rachel knows her very well and gets on brilliantly with her, so she’ll let her land where she’s comfortable from barrier 7 and try and repeat the tactics deployed last time and if she gets some luck in running we expect her to be hard to beat once again.

CONDONE, Race 7, 1300m, 4.20pm, A Hyeronimus, 57.5kg 
Condone gave us such a thrill when gaining a well-deserved win at this track a fortnight ago. He’s bounced through that run in terrific shape and we can’t fault him at home, so he’s firing on all cylinders in his quest to notch another win here. The first run outside of maiden grade is never easy, and this is no exception as he’s taking on some much more seasoned older horses as well as other up and coming progressive types like himself. However, he’s open to plenty of improvement off the back of his first-up run and we’re confident he can measure up to this grade. Adam knows him well so he’ll be positive from barrier 10 to try and get across and establish himself on or close to the speed, and whilst he may appreciate getting over further in time he sticks to 1300 metres for now before we explore that avenue. He ticks plenty of boxes and we think he’s got a lot of upside, so we hope to see him fighting out the finish.

SUPERMASSIVE, Race 7, 1300m, 4.20pm, T Clark, 59.5kg 
On the face of it, Supermassive was slightly disappointing at this track a fortnight ago, however, he ultimately wasn’t beaten too far. Tim felt he might’ve just been a little flat too after a big first-up effort, and this isn’t unusual either so we do think he’s capable of bouncing back here as he’s been training very well since. He sticks to 1300 metres for now before we explore stretching him out in trip, but as a result we’ve elected to put blinkers on him for the first time to sharpen him up and ensure he’s entirely focused on the task at hand, as he looked to float around a little when he hit the front last time. Tim knows him well and whilst barrier 17 means he’ll have to do a bit of work early to cross the field, he’s a fit horse who’s capable of overcoming this and we expect him to run a bold race.

THURSDAY 21st MAY - HAWKESBURY

Rail Position: +5m 1100-450, +3m 450 -WP, True remainder

FARSET, Race 1, 1300m, 12.15pm, R King, 60.5kg 
Farset ran another honest race to finish second once again at Wyong last time. He might’ve finished second four times now, but he’s by no means ungenuine and he’s just been unlucky to bump into one on each occasion. He’s dropping back in trip by 50 metres here which will probably suit him, and whilst the handicapper hasn’t missed him with his big weight we think he’s capable of defying it. Rachel will be positive from barrier 8 to try and control things from the front, and whilst the heavy track is an unknown he’s got plenty of soft track form so we’re confident he’ll handle it if it remains testing come race day. He deserves to get his first win, and if things go his way here we hope he’ll be hard to beat.

REIGN OF HONOR, Race 3, 1100m, 1.25pm, R King, 59kg 
Reign Of Honor is in brilliant shape ahead of his return. His two trials have been extremely encouraging, and he’s continued to improve since winning his most recent one at Randwick earlier this month. He had that very minor setback afterwards but he didn’t miss any work, and his subsequent gallops have been excellent so we couldn’t be happier with how he’s training ahead of this run. He showed promise last preparation where he raced over 1300-1400 metres, so we very much see this race as a starting point for his preparation and we expect him to improve as he gets out in trip. There might be one or two a bit speedier than him from the gates, so Rachel will let him land where he’s comfortable from barrier 5 and ride the race accordingly. He’s conceding weight to all bar one of his rivals which doesn’t make life easy, and he's untested on wet tracks but we're confident he'll handle it. This is a valuable race to roll the dice in first-up, and with even luck in running we see no reason why he won’t be very competitive.

MISS FARNAN, Race 6, 1100m, 3.20pm, R King, 55.5kg 
Miss Farnan ran creditably when resuming at Goulburn earlier this month. She’s taken good improvement from the outing so she strips fitter here, and she sticks to 1100 metres for now as she’s a very speedy filly so we expect it to suit her. Rachel will roll forward from barrier 8 to get across into a more favourable inside position, and whilst she’s untested on a wet track we’re hopeful she’ll get through it. This race is restricted to horses that have only won one race so it’s a nice progression for her, and we are confident that she will run a competitive race.