Gai Waterhouse | Gai Waterhouse Gais Tip Sheet

SATURDAY 25th APRIL - GOFORD

Rail Position: +5m Entire

Mimi's, Race 3, 1200m, 2.15pm, L Beuzelin 55.0kg
Mimi’s is pleasing us ahead of her third-up run. She was no match for the impressive winner at Wyong last time, but that horse looks very smart and she boxed on very creditably to finish second. She’s taken further improvement from that run and as Adam said, she’s just looking for further which she now gets stretching out to 1200 metres. The slightly steadier tempo of this longer race should enable her to travel more comfortably in the run, which will also aid her finishing effort. Louis will let her roll forward from barrier 6 to hopefully settle close to the speed, and if she enjoys some favours in the run we hope it’s enough to see her saluting the judge for you all. 

SATURDAY 25th APRIL - FLEMINGTON

Rail Position: True Entire Circuit

Drumfire, Race 3, 1400m, 2.10pm, L Meech 58.0kg 
Drumfire is none the worse following his aborted run at Caulfield a fortnight ago. He’s been back to the jumpouts since then where he acquitted himself very well against some smart horses, and it’s kept his fitness up to the mark between runs. He’s stretching out from 1100 to 1400 metres here but the way he kept finding the line at Kensington last time suggests he’s going to be well suited by it, and we don’t have any concerns. Linda will let him land where he’s comfortable from barrier 1 but we envisage him racing close to the speed to make his own luck accordingly, and he’s in receipt of 1kg from his two main rivals which is not to be sniffed at. We’re confident he’s up to this grade and this is a lovely race for him, so we expect him to be right there at the finish.

SATURDAY 25th APRIL - RANDWICK

Rail Position:  +10m 1000m-W/Post, +8m Remainder

Extremely Tempted, Race 1, 1100m, 12.45pm, R Bayliss 58.0kg
Extremely Tempted is thriving ahead of this outing. He couldn’t have been more impressive when winning on debut at Hawkesbury, and he’s come through the run in terrific shape. He’s taken plenty of improvement from it and his recent work has been excellent, so he’s coming into this full of confidence. He maps to lead from barrier 7, and Regan should be able to get him travelling comfortably and set some even sectionals in the middle stages of the race. He sticks to 1100 metres for now which suits him well as he’s got plenty of speed, and whilst this is a step up in grade it’s the perfect steppingstone for him after breaking his maiden and we expect him to be hard to beat. 

Thrice, Race 6, 1800m, 3.40pm, T Clark 54.0kg
Thrice is thriving ahead of his first Australian start. He’s been very straightforward and professional thus far, and this attitude is going to take him a long way. He’s had three trials so he’s as fit as we can get him, and being a European import we’re wasting no time by starting him off over 1800 metres as he’d be vulnerable to speedier types over anything shorter. Tim’s learned a lot about him in his trials and he maps to race close to the speed here, so he’ll be positive from barrier 9 to land in a forward position where he can establish himself in a comfortable rhythm. He won a Group 3 over 2000 metres in Ireland last year so we know he’s a talented horse, and whilst he’ll improve as he continues to get out in trip we have a terrific first-up record with our European imports and we expect him to be right there at the finish to get his preparation off to an exciting start.

Bella Montagna, Race 8, 1600m, 4.50pm, Z Wadick 59.5kg
Bella Montagna is delighting us ahead of her return. She was fantastic last preparation and rounded out her campaign with a terrific win over 2400 metres, so we know she’s up to this grade. She’s resuming over a mile which is the bare minimum for her, and it’s very much a starting point with a view to bigger and better things as she gets out in trip down the line so we don’t expect her to be peaking here. Zac will let her land where she’s comfortable from barrier 6 and race with cover, and if the leaders set a genuine gallop it’ll only help her. Zac also takes a valuable 2kg off her back which brings her down in the weights, and we expect to see her hitting the line strongly to get her preparation off to an encouraging start.

SATURDAY 25th APRIL - BATHURST

Rail Position:  True

Think I Wil, Race 4, 1400m, 3.16pm, A McLucas 59.0kg
Think I Will is delighting us ahead of his first start. He took good improvement from his first trial to finish second in his latest one, and he’s continued on an upwards trajectory in his recent trackwork so we couldn’t be happier with how he's training. He’s debuting over 1400 metres but he’s bred to appreciate getting over some ground, and his latest trial was over 1100 metres so we’re confident he’s as fit as we can get him. Amy’s been in fantastic form of late riding three trebles already this month, and she’ll be positive from barrier 5 to try and get him rolling along on or close to the speed. Bathurst is a tight track but hopefully he can race on pace to avoid any trouble in running, and if he gives a good kick we hope he’ll take plenty of catching.

MONDAY 27th APRIL - GOULBURN

Rail Position:  +5m Entire

Hold The Door, Race 7, 1500m, 4.35pm, L Beuzelin 59.0kg
Hold The Door was disappointing when resuming at Rosehill. However, he did finish a grade lame in his off foreleg so we’re prepared to be forgiving of his effort. We’re bringing him right back in grade here to try and get his confidence up, and getting out in trip to 1500 metres is another positive. Louis will be positive from barrier 6 to try and get him rolling along close to the speed, and Goulburn’s an expansive track which should suit him. We know he’s better than she showed first-up, and under these more optimal conditions we expect him to bounce back and be very competitive.

MONDAY 27th APRIL - KENSINGTON

Rail Position: +2m Entire

Moscatel, Race 2, 1100m, 12pm, T Clark 56.0kg 
Moscatel is delighting us ahead of her first start. She has taken good improvement from her two trials, and she’s continued on an upwards trajectory in her recent trackwork so we couldn’t be happier with how she’s training. She’s drawn to do no work in barrier 1 so Tim will be positive out of the gates to try and secure a prominent position, as we don’t want her being buried against the rail by horses to her outside and it’s also a significant advantage for young, inexperienced horses to have a rail to follow and guide them. If she’s able to get to the front and control the race to suit herself it’ll certainly be to her advantage, so hopefully Tim can do so and dictate some even sectionals in the middle stages of the contest. From there she should be able to give a strong kick on turning in, and we have a lot of success at this track so whilst this is a competitive race we’re confident your filly is well placed to get her career off to an exciting start.