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GAI’S TIP SHEET

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Gai's Tip Sheet

SATURDAY 19TH OCTOBER – RANDWICK

Rail Position: RAIL - True

MILITARY MISSION (Race 1, 12.30pm, 2600m, A Hyeronimus, 58.5kg)
On face value we were disappointed with Military Mission’s finishing position in his latest outing. However, as mentioned post-race he just didn't get the right tow into the race and it made it difficult for him over the concluding stages. Whilst he hasn't set the world alight in his races this time in, his work at home has been fantastic so the enthusiasm is still there but he just needs the right conditions to put his best foot forward. This step up to 2600 metres will suit, and with all the rain around this week the track's currently rated a Soft 5. There's more rain forecast today so whilst Randwick is a very fast draining course, it's likely to kick off tomorrow on the soft side which is no bad thing for your gelding as he has plenty of wet track form. He's well weighted in this set weights and penalties contest and if he bounces back to his best, it would be no surprise to see him back in the Winner's Circle.

TOO MUCH CAVIAR (Race 2, 1.05pm, 1600m, R King, 52kg)
We were disappointed with Too Much Caviar’s finishing effort in his latest start at Bathurst, but we know he’s better than that and to his credit he stuck on bravely to the line under a big weight. Perhaps his exertions in his first two starts this campaign had left more of a mark than we initially thought, so we feel you can be forgiving of that performance. We've freshened him up nicely since and given him five weeks between runs which has done him the world of good, and he's had a tick over trial in that time to keep his fitness up to the mark. Rachel will be positive from barrier 7 to get him rolling along into a prominent position where he can travel comfortably and hopefully dictate terms to suit himself. With all the rain around this week the track's currently rated a Soft 5. There's more rain forecast today so whilst Randwick is a very fast draining course, it's likely to kick off tomorrow on the soft side which is no bad thing for your gelding as he has plenty of good wet track form. He drops back to the mile here and he has a nice light weight on his back which is never a bad thing, so whilst he's taking on some highly rated rivals we're hopeful that these combination of factors can see him bounce back to his best and be featuring in the finish.

DOMINETTA (Race 3, 1.40pm, 1400m, A Hyeronimus, 58kg)
Dominetta gave us all a huge thrill when winning so impressively first-up at Warwick Farm. She settled into a lovely rhythm in the lead before showing wonderful determination when challenged at the top of the straight to ultimately win coming away from the field. She’s taken great benefit from that outing, and her trial in between starts where she went neck and neck with an older horse rated 97 was fantastic so she's thriving at present. She rises in grade to Listed company here so it’s going to be much tougher than her first start this campaign, but the way she won suggests she’s more than capable of handling the challenge. We expect the step out in trip to 1400 metres to also bring about further improvement, and she’s got the early speed to go forward from barrier 9 to make her own luck on the front end as she appeared to enjoy these tactics first-up. With all the rain around this week the track's currently rated a Soft 5, and there's more rain forecast today so whilst Randwick is a very fast draining course it's likely to kick off tomorrow on the soft side. She debuted on a soft track back in January and Zoustar's progeny generally handle it quite well, so we're confident she'll get through the conditions presented. This race requires a lot more but it’s a good opportunity to gain some valuable Black Type, and she's only lightly raced with plenty of upside so if she can get into a good rhythm and enjoy a smooth run in transit we expect her to be right there at the finish.

LADY OF CAMELOT (Race 7, 4.15pm, 1200m, R King, 51kg).
Lady Of Camelot has come through last week's trial in great shape and she looks terrific. We have bided our time with her and freshened her up since her latest start to get her back on song, and she couldn't be in better physical order ahead of this. Her gallop on Tuesday morning was excellent and we feel she is open to further improvement third-up stretching out in trip over 1200 metres with a very light weight on her back. Tactically it's going to be a fascinating contest, and she'll likely have to slot in and get a bit of cover from barrier 11 but she did the same in the Golden Slipper so we know she's tactically versatile. With all the rain around this week the track's currently rated a Soft 5, and there's more rain forecast today so whilst Randwick is a very fast draining course it's likely to kick off tomorrow on the soft side. She's only ever raced on track's officially rated Good, so it's a slight unknown but we're confident she'll handle some cut in the ground if that's what eventuates. 3 year olds have a good record in this race with Yes Yes Yes and Giga Kick winning in recent years, both of whom had inferior ratings to your filly. Whilst she needs to improve on what she's done thus far this preparation, we think she's capable of doing so under these conditions and a return to her best could see her fighting out the finish.


STORM BOY (Race 7, 4.15pm, 1200m, B Avdulla, 53kg)
Storm Boy ran another very brave race when stepped up in trip in the Golden Rose in his latest outing, and once again he wasn’t beaten far at the line. He’s come through the run in excellent shape and the three weeks between starts has enabled us to freshen him up nicely and get the sharpness back in his legs that he needs for this drop back in trip to 1200 metres. How he executes the start from barrier 5 is going to dictate how the race pans out for him. If he jumps quickly or on terms he'll have every opportunity to roll forward and execute the front running tactics he's used so successfully in the past. If he gives away too much ground at the start, then he risks speedier horses going forward or even coming across from his outside and forcing him to take a sit and go to plan B. Brenton will just have to ride the race as he finds it, but we're hopeful he'll spring out and make his own luck from the front. With all the rain around this week the track's currently rated a Soft 5, and there's more rain forecast today so whilst Randwick is a very fast draining course it's likely to kick off tomorrow on the soft side. He's got some wet track form though, so we're confident he'll handle some cut in the ground if that's what eventuates. He's the lowest rated horse in the field but this can be misleading, as 3 year olds have a good record in the race with Yes Yes Yes and Giga Kick, rated 96 and 90, both winning in recent years which adds confidence. As you would expect, it’s an extremely competitive contest so he will need to be at the top of his game but he looks excellent and we are very hopeful that he will put his best foot forward and be challenging in the finish.


MAJOR BEEL (Race 9, 5.35pm, 1600m, A Hyeronimus, 59kg)
Major Beel ran another solid race in his most recent start in the Group 1 Epsom Handicap where he wasn't beaten far at all. He's come through that run in terrific shape and he is in great order at present, so we can't fault him. This is an extremely tough race and he stays at 1600 metres again, but the prospect of a strongly run mile that's going to place a big emphasis on stamina is going to play to his strengths. Moreover, with the rain we've had this week the track's rated a Soft 5 and there's more rain forecast today, so the likelihood of a soft track is another big tick for him as we know he handles it better than some. He proved two runs back in the 7 Stakes that he can be competitive at weight for age level, and this is a very valuable contest so we think it's worth rolling the dice and having a crack at it. Tactically it's going to be a fascinating race, but he's as honest as the day is long and we're confident he won't be disgraced.


GANBARE (Race 10, 6.10pm, 1400m, M Zahra, 58kg)
Ganbare looks a picture of health and is covered in dapples ahead of his first start this preparation. We were delighted with the way that he found the line in his trial at Randwick eleven days ago, and it was an impressive win against several progressive rivals. Whilst we know he’ll improve as he stretches out over further, he’s no slouch and this race is a lovely kick off point for him. Mark will be positive to try and work forward from his wide barrier, but if they kick up to his inside and he has to settle a bit further back then so be it. If the leaders go hard up front it will place an emphasis on stamina, and this will only play to his strengths. We know he’s talented on his day, and if he can enjoy a smooth run in transit we hope to see him hitting the line strongly to get things off to an encouraging start.

SATURDAY 19TH OCTOBER – CAULFIED

Rail Position: RAIL - Out 3m Entire Circuit

CATOGGIO (Race 1, 12.15pm, 1400m, J McNeil, 56kg)
Catoggio was excellent when winning so impressively first-up at Geelong. He settled into a lovely rhythm in the lead before quickening impressively at the top of the straight to win in determined fashion. He’s taken great benefit from that outing, and he strips fitter and tighter in condition ahead of this assignment. It’s never easy for horses to follow up a maiden win, but this race is restricted to his own sex which is a big tick and it is a good steppingstone for him, albeit against several progressive individuals and last start winners. We expect the step out in trip to 1400 metres bring about further improvement, and Jye retains the ride which is another bonus as he knows him well. He’s got the early speed to go forward from barrier 4 to make his own luck on the front end, and he appeared to enjoy these tactics at Geelong. This race requires more but there's not a lot between the field on ratings and he's lightly raced with plenty of upside, so if he can get into a good rhythm and enjoy a smooth run in transit we expect him to take plenty of catching.

KILLCARE BEACHGIRL (Race 4, 2pm, 2000m, T Clark, 56kg)
Killcare Beachgirl ran an excellent race when stepped-up in grade and trip in her most recent start. We were delighted to gain some valuable Black Type with her at this early stage in her campaign, and she lost nothing in defeat. Caulfield is a unique track, so we wanted to seize the opportunity to gallop here on Tuesday morning prior to this start to give her some crucial experience. We were delighted with the way she adapted, and she will take great benefit from the morning come raceday. We've removed the blinkers for this outing as we don't want her to overdo things stepping up to 2000 metres third-up, and Tim will be positive form barrier 5 to get her rolling along into a forward position where she can travel comfortably and get into a good rhythm. This is another competitive race with several unexposed horses meeting, but we are confident that she has further improvement to come and is more than capable of challenging at the finish.

TOO DARN LIZZIE (Race 6, 3.10pm, 1400m, T Clark, 56kg)
Too Darn Lizzie ran another brave race when stepped up in trip in her latest outing and she battled on determinedly to the line in the closing stages. She was taking on several unexposed and talented fillies and lost nothing in defeat, and she’s been in very good form so far this campaign. She can be a free going filly at times and she puts a lot into her runs, so the four weeks between starts has enabled us to freshen her up nicely ahead of this contest. We’ve been delighted with her trackwork in the lead up to this start and she’s still only lightly raced and learning her job, so she’s open to plenty to improvement third-up. She’s got the plum draw in barrier 1 and Tim will be positive form here to get her rolling along into her preferred front running position to try and make her own luck on the speed. She’s in terrific shape and we expect her to run another competitive race to be fighting out the finish.

ELIYASS (Race 9, 5.15pm, 2400m, T Clark, 53kg)
Eliyass ran an excellent race when stepped up in grade to Group 1 company in his latest outing. He was taking on some of the best weight for age performers around and he lost nothing in defeat, so we were incredibly proud of his effort. He's bounced through that run in tremendous order, and he's such a wonderful character to have around the stable. We feel he is open to plenty of improvement in only his second attempt racing the Melbourne way since his arrival in Australia, and he's reunited with Tim Clark who knows him extremely well. He's drawn the widest barrier in 18 (he'll come in three positions after scratchings), and some people's immediate reaction to this is one of concern. However, it's worth noting that two recent Caulfield Cup winners have jumped from barrier 18: Dunaden in 2012 and, more recently, Incentivise in 2021, so it is something that can be overcome. Tim knows him well and they have a terrific record together, so Tim will be positive from the outside barrier to get him rolling along into a position where he can slot in, travel comfortably and get into a nice flowing rhythm. He's up in trip to 2400 metres and he's untested beyond 2000 metres, so it is a step into the unknown. However, we don't see it being a problem for him and if anything it could bring about further improvement. The Caulfield Cup is a time honored and iconic contest so it's as competitive as it gets, but he couldn't be in better shape and we expect him to be right there at the finish.

SATURDAY 19TH OCTOBER – NEWCASTLE

Rail Position: RAIL - +9m Entire

TAUTOU (Race 6, 4.35pm, 1200m, S Clipperton, 60.5kg)
Tautou continues to please us and we can’t fault her ahead of this return. She’s come through last week's trial in great shape, and it's got her fitness back up to the mark. She’s got to shoulder top weight which doesn't make life easy, but she's taking on her own sex which is a big plus and Sam will be positive from barrier 12 to get her rolling along into a prominent position. We know she’ll improve as she gets to 1400 metres, but she’s no slouch and she's got blinkers on to ensure she's razor sharp and focused, so if she can enjoy a smooth run in transit we’re confident she will be challenging at the finish.

SATURDAY 20TH OCTOBER – NOWRA

Rail Position: RAIL – True
INVINCIBLE DUCHESS (Race 5, 4.20pm, 1200m, J Van Overmeire, 55kg)
Invincible Duchess looks terrific ahead of her first career start and she has been progressing nicely since her most recent trial at Randwick a fortnight ago. She has made nice progress from each of her trials so far this campaign, and these outings have given her a good base level of fitness ahead of this first-up run. She’s strengthened up nicely at the outset of her three year old season, and this 1200 metre trip is a very suitable starting point for her. She’s taking on the boys first-up which is never easy, but she’s starting off at a realistic level and she's shown good early speed in her trials so Jean will be positive from her wide draw in barrier 11 to try and get her into a forward position where she can travel comfortably in the run. She’s conceding race experience to a few key rivals, but she's debuting in a winnable race and we expect her to give it a good shake to get her career off to a promising start.